Just go read this

Atlas Juggs goes totally bat guano.

You can scroll and scroll and scroll. It’s hilarious. EVERY single last Obama smear, all rolled up into one mega-post.

I think she’s claiming that Malcolm X is really Obama’s father, but the post is so turgid and verbose and ridiculous, I’m not sure. Jomo Kenyatta? How, in the name of God, did she work Jomo Kenyatta into this?

They gotta retire the Golden Wingnut award after this one.

Plumbin’ Joe has left and gone away

Where have you gone, Joe Wurzelbacher,
John McCain turns his lonely eyes to you.
What’s that you say, Mrs. Robinson.
Plumbing Joe has left and gone away,
Hey hey hey.

per NY Times:

DEFIANCE, Ohio — Where was Joe?

Here in Defiance — a town that sums up the mood of Senator John McCain right now – the Republican nominee gave a shoutout this morning to America’s most famous plumber, Joe Wurzelbacher, who was, or so the candidate thought, in the audience.

“Joe’s with us today!’’ Mr. McCain hollered at a cold outdoor rally at Defiance Junior High School. “Joe, where are you? Where is Joe? Is Joe here with us today?’’

Nothing.

Maybe just a scheduling foul-up, but a funny one.

Fruit Fly Research

In the comments, there’s been some discussion of Sarah’s Palin’s ignorant dissing of “fruit fly research,” which she apparently does not know has been a mainstay of genetic research for decades, including work on autism. PZMyers has the background and, of course, his trademark denunciation.

I’ll go a step further, further than Myers and other commentary I’ve read.

Palin’s dissing of “fruit fly” research was a deliberate dogwhistle to the creationists. Anyone who’s ever gotten into any kind of evo-creo debate has encountered the following: “So the evilutionists claim to have seen new species of fruit flies evolve? Big deal. They’re still just fruit flies.” It’s like a reference to the Dred Scott decision, vis a vis the abortion debate. Fruit flies are one of the creationists favorite “nyuk nyuk nyuk … you got nothing, ya egghead evilutionist” tag lines.

As for “Paris,” that’s just a little more Axis of Weasel icing on the creationist cake.

Palin in 2012?

Marc Ambinder seems to me to be on target with his observations.


And if she wants the job, she’s easily the frontrunner to become THE voice of the angry Right in the Wilderness. She is a favorite of talk radio and Fox News conservatives, and speaks their language as only a true member of the club can. (Her recent Limbaugh interview was full of dog whistles that any Dittohead would recognize. Including her actual use of the word ditto.)

Palin will have plenty of time to become fluent on national issues. She will easily benefit from the low expectations threshhold, and will probably even garner positive reviews from the MSM types who disparage her today.

Palin will be judged to be “ready” in four years. George Will and David Brooks and Peggy Noonan will all swoon over her once more. Ok, maybe not George Will.

Yikes. President Palin? Thanks a lot, John!

Obama’s ceiling?

Today the RCP average of polls shows +6.8% for Obama, and has been over 7% for several days, even at 8.2% a few days ago. The polls included in their current sample range from Obama +2% to +14%. Obama is at 49.5% and McCain at 42.7%.

I wonder if Obama may have hit a ceiling, at least in polling numbers. It’s a cliche that we have a polarized electorate. So, how low can a generic Republican, or a reasonably competent Republican candidate, get? 40%? Maybe. I’d argue a little higher. Recall that 40% is a McGovern or Goldwater level. Let’s say 42% as a GOP minimum (or a Dem minimum for that matter). Right now undecideds are at 7.8%. How much will that number decrease, in the polling before election day? I don’t think all that much. Obviously the undecided and ‘other candidate number will be about 1, maybe 2, percent when the ballots are cast. But, in the polling, I bet it won’t go much below 6 or 7 percent. Let’s say 6.5%.

So, if we accept these numbers, McCain might be expected to keep polling at 42% and the undecideds at 6.5%, leaving Obama with a “ceiling” of 51.5%. (I’m not positing anything negative about Obama, nor any Bradley effect, or anything other than a polarized electorate and a reasonably competent GOP candidate).

If Obama stays around 50-51% for the next 18 days, with a lead of 6-8%, I predict we will see news stories asking “What is wrong with Obama? Why can’t he break ahead of the (approximately) fifty percent mark? Why can’t he seal the deal? We saw this in the primaries against Hillary Clinton? Blah blah blah.”

One final note: In our system, an 8% popular vote lead can be expected to lead to an electoral landslide. See elections of 1988 and 1996. On theother hand a 2% popular vote lead can result in a very tight “one swing state could have made the difference” result. And since polling is an inexct science, 2% versus 8% leads can be hard to tell apart.

The Line from Talk Radio

I’ve been driving in my car a lot recently and have been tuning in to Limbaugh and Hannity, just for a laugh:

A week ago: “The polls are tightening.”

Three days ago: “Don’t believe the polls.”

Today: “It is safe to say that the Obama campaign is cheating.”

Also on Monday, Limabaugh went on an extended tear about Obama’s tax plans and small business, and how 95% could not possibly make less than $250,000. He ran through many SBA numbers, characterizing firms in various industries as small businesses, based on their gross receipts. “Fisheries, less than $700,000 – small business.” He hammered away at this for an hour or more.

I’m laughing away at this, recalling the old rule of thumb that for every $100 a business takes in, it incurs $60 of labor expenses and $30 of materials, etc., leaving $10 of taxable income. D’oh.

Finally, “El Rushbo” noted that some emails had come in, raising this point. And he tried to put it back on Obama. “Is it net or gross. I don’t know. He has to tell us. Do you think any of the drive-by media will ask him? etc. etc.” I wonder what the reaction would be if a reporter asked, “Sen. Obama, when you say that you will not raise income taxes on any small business with an income under $250,000, do you mean income or gross receipts?”

Limbaugh persisted in his delusion, insisting that since “we all know Obama is lying anyway, this difference is minutia that doesn’t matter anyway.”

“Minutia” — the difference between gross receipts and taxable income. Hey, it’s only a factor of ten, one measly order of magnitude, right?

Summing up K Lo


I Just Don’t Get

[Kathryn Jean Lopez]

any of the insta polls, which seem to give it to Obama.

Who ya’ gonna believe, K Lo? The facts or your own dying lies?

If John McCain threw a temper tantrum, called Obama an “uppity darkie,” mooned the audience, threw his pen at Bob Schieffer, and stormed off the stage in a huff, I suppose K Lo would swoon over “McCain’s authentic style, showing himself to be the man that America wants and needs right now.”

Troopergate report: Palin abused power

from those Commies at the Anchorage Daily News and the Republican majority (14 – 6) on the Alaska Legislative Council:

An investigation has concluded that Gov. Sarah Palin abused her power, according to a report just now unanimously released by the legislative council.

The report by investigator Steve Branchflower found that Palin violated the state’s executive branch ethics act, which says that “each public officer holds office as a public trust, and any effort to benefit a personal or financial interest through official action is a violation of that trust.”

Branchflower was investigating whether Palin abused her power by pushing for the firing of state trooper Mike Wooten, who once was married to the governor’s sister.

The full report is here.